July – December 2016: +149.5
Jan – June 2016: +47.74
July – December 2015: +147.6
A day without any furthering of the negative figure, success!
Now for Monday…..
Tom Weston’s Thoonavolla took this last year and returns off almost a stone more but obviously goes well fresh and has Sean Bowen to guide it.
The ground may not be soft enough for Tom Gretton’s Little Jimmy but keep an eye on the market because it is getting very close to its time.
Miss Benefitz is a horse I am very interested in, speaking in the short term, and the ride it received last time out when it was pulled up was despicable.
Sunday Central is another you will have read about on this site and it was strangled last time out to finish fourth but that was over 2M5F and although the drop back to this trip doesn’t look ideal any money for it would be capable of changing my mind somewhat.
Caroline Bailey won this race in 2016 and has Xhale off bottom weight today. The five year old has to be given respect after a very good showing behind Cafe Du Lait a month ago.
Hill Fort is the one I will plump for at this stage after an exceptionally promising outing last time it saw a race course twenty six days ago. Six pounds below its last winning mark and with the Sheppard’s teaming up for a well backed winner a few days ago Hill Fort looks very likely to figure today.
It is very hard for me to get away from Robert Stephens’ Beltor here after making such a big deal of it when it ran in the class one race at Newbury. It gives hurdles very little respect ad Tom O’Brien has given race readers very little respect in its last two races. In short I believe 133 is a very good mark for the horse and this drop in class could be just the thing to see the Stephens yard chalk up another success.
An eye shosuld be kept on Plan Again of Farrelly’s with Fehily riding. The horse will not have run over this far previously and is coming back off a 683 day break. The ten year old has been kept in training for a purpose and the extended trip is intriguing on its reappearance.
Goodby Inheritance is interesting with Kirby booked to ride as is The Detainee of Gask’s with Parkes in the saddle but the winner of this race, if wanted, is Jersey Bull of Madgwick’s. The horse is still above its last winning mark and is owned by a group that don’t do things other people generally expect them to but the race this one ran at Lingfield three weeks ago over 1M4F shouted that it was ready to run a big race over this trip if asked to.
Should Jersey Bull come out on top in the previous contest then I would expect Tommy’s Geal to go well in the second race. Recycled Products could well be planning a little double with the two nicely treated handicappers.
The two Butler horses need obvious attention in this but there would obviously need to be signs of support in the market for either to be a bet. Star Of The Stage would be the choice over Mime Dance but both are treated well enough to be of interest.
If Karen George’s Quintus Cerealis is trying today it will take some beating but it is by no means a prolific winner.
Butler has Jufn, and ex Godolphin inmate, in this with Keniry riding and although it may be engineered to lose for a prolonged period of time it would presumably be good enough of today’s mark of 82.
The Warrior is one to be watched, and has been since coming over from O’Brien’s, but I have to admit to thinking that it would be asked to show its best over further.
Bush Warrior has Kirby up and has been looking ready to pop up for a while now. Stall three will not provide an excuse.
Panther Patrol is another which will be going in very soon but stall twelve does not fill me with confidence for today.
KIng Of Swing and Waneen both deserve attention from the yards of HUghes and Butler but, unfortunately, the market will again have to provide the clues because this IS Kempton “out of season” and we are all aware of what has been going on at this track for the past few months.
3:40 Southwell Hill Fort WIN 8/1 Betfair sportsbook
3:50 Taunton Beltor WIN 5/1 Bet365/WillHill/Coral
Good luck all